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Variance in Research; Manual Agent Orchestration - LLM Lab Book 2026-07-02

 More instances of variance in research results, this time around Isidore Nobel. Also, saving tokens by keeping conversations short.

Missing Isidore Nobel

This was probably due to a misspelling on the British manifest of Nobel's last name as Noble. The U.S. manifest has it as Nobel. 

Another midweek usage reset

I would say this was caused by the introduction of fable yesterday, but my usage numbers didn't reset until late last night.

Yesterday, my limits were at about 21% and set to renew on Saturday.


What do ticket number clusters reveal in the sorta solved Hedy Lamarr mystery?

First, an update. Hedy Lamarr aka Hildegard Mandl is present on the English version of the manifest. You might remember she is not present on the United States side. No answers yet as to why. However, the English manifest has ticket numbers and people traveling together seem to have similar ticket numbers, so this is a reminder to look for something there.

Why we sometimes want substrate-mediated propagation

Polecats in yesterdays page runs started looking across findings. I should do a forensic analysis to see which polecat decided this was a good idea, but I'm seeing it happen with more frequency as I run through the findings. That's a correlation, not causation. I don't have data yet showing which findings arrived at which time. In the particular example below, it wound up being a good thing that agents are reading each other findings at least within in the same folder. The later agent was able to test and negate a hypothesis about a passenger made by an earlier agent.

-------------------------Correcting a finding------------------------------------

This entry resolves a misidentification from page 00697 (polecat shiny). Jake Rubel's sister Charlotta "Lotta" Rubel Lehmann appeared on page 00697 as "LEHMAN Lotta, 54F, Savoy Hotel" and was tentatively identified by polecat shiny as potentially Lotte Lehmann, the celebrated operatic soprano who emigrated to the US in 1937. The US arrival manifest (NYT715_6054-0364, row 6) definitively resolves this: Lotta is Charlotta Rubel, born August 22, 1883, Corinth, Mississippi, traveling with her brother Jake on sequential passports 419722 (Jake) and 419723 (Lotta) — a brother and sister who applied for passports together. The soprano Lotte Lehmann (born February 27, 1888, Perleberg, Germany) was a different person. The "Lotte Lehmann" identification on page 00697 is incorrect; the person is the sister of a Mississippi department store merchant.

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Manual Convoy Launches

I'll have more detail on this later, but they're definitely worth the effort if you have repetitive research tasks where the only thing that changes is the manifest page, (for example.) Rather than having the mayor of Gas Town suss out how to sling a bead and then folding that into the mayor's context for every additional turn in the session, it's easier, and cheaper, to use code (written by the mayor) to simply sling the beads into Gas Town myself from the terminal.


Looking at ticket number clusters

Database design and import seems to be worth the tokens, and fairly cheap even if its not. So far, adding the new voyage manifest has taken 2% of the five hour usage window. Using Sonnet 5. The entire redesign of tables and re-importing data cost 10% of my five hour window.







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